UFC 107 Analysis And Prediction For The BJ Penn Versus Diego Sanchez Fight
Without a doubt, BJ "The Prodigy" Penn is the better 155 pound on the planet. There is no one in the division that will touch him. Most 155 pound fighters can't even touch him BUT Diego "Nightmare" Sanchez is not a 155 pound fighter.
It may be surprising to many that you would choose Diego Sanchez to overpower BJ Penn but he has problems with bigger fighters and she has difficulty with fighters that they like to press the action. That along with the +220 online sports betting odds, leads me to put my money on the underdog with this fight.
Diego is often a slightly better wrestling and he's better striking. The real determining take into account why he will win this fight is pace. Diego Sanchez will push the pace with the fight anf the husband will pressure the fights. BJ Penn likes to control his ufc fights when a fighter takes control of the pace usually they are able to dictate and beat BJ.
Also BJ Penn has difficulties with fighters that are bigger and stronger than him. Penn lost to Georges St Pierre twice because GSP was bigger and the man pushed the pace from the fight. Penn lost to Matt Hughes while he was not healthy and nearby the end with the fight Hughes pushed the pace and he would have been a bigger fighter.
Diego Sanchez is often a big 155 pound fighter. He is usually a welterweight fighter and may even fight at middleweight if he wished to. He will cut a great deal of weigh entering this fight and after his weight cut, Sanchez will most likely be at 170 pounds fight day. He will probably be a lot larger and much more powerful fighter and that he will pose Penn some problems as a consequence of Diego's size.
Size will have big role within this fight, and Penn have not done so well with fighters which can be greater than him. BJ dominates same size fighters like he did with Kenny Florian and Sean Sherk. But remember Sanchez could be the bigger fighter and that is really a major factor when fighting BJ Penn.
Diego is often a fighter that is certainly always healthy and the man will pressure Penn when the fight starts. He will be capable to back Penn on top of his aggressive pressure and confuse him along with his strikes and kicks. After the initial two rounds Penn is going to be exhausted trying to keep up with Diego's' pace. When Penn fought Matt Hughes the next time he was dominating him but by round 3 he was out of gas and Hughes turned it down. His last fight with St Pierre he was getting thrown off his game and also by round 4 he can't continue. If Diego can push the pace he'll almost certainly tire out Penn and consider the fight within the latter rounds.
While a lot of people desire a decade or maybe more to become black belt, Penn got his black belt with only three years of education. BJ Penn is known for his jiu-jitsu but if you gaze at his record in MMA he wins all of his fights by rear naked choke. Now if you break up his grappling game he dominates the grappling game because he is equal in weight. If Diego Sanchez were the same size he more than likely would dominate your struggle.
However, Diego isn't slouch in the grass. His no gi game is very good and it has even competed with the ADCC 2005 Absolute Division championships. The Abu Dhabi could be the most prestigious grapping tournament on the planet that's something BJ Penn has never competed in before. Diego won his first fight in the ADCC and lost his second fight to Marcelo Garcia that's regarded as being one from the best grapplers on the globe. That was when Diego never even competed having a gi before. In 2005, Sanchez wrestled for his senior high school in New Mexico prior to starting training MMA with Greg Jackson at Jackson's Submission Fighting that's thought to be the most effective MMA trainer on the planet. Despite never employing a gi in grappling Diego carries a very tight grappling game.
Striking wise you have to give you a slight edge to Diego. Diego may have the reach and sboarena power advantage inside striking. He is going to be greater fighter and the man can push off and jab his punches so BJ Penn is not going to to get in close. Technically BJ Penn is a better striker with better fundamentals but he'll almost certainly be mistaken for the sheer amount of strikes as well as the reach.
Bottom Line: Remember Diego Sanchez would have been a format member of the Greg Jackson team and Jackson was in the corner when GSP fought Penn so Sanchez will fight an identical fight that St Pierre fought. Sanchez will probably be prepared for this fight and the man will shock many.
I love the truth that Sanchez may be the bigger, stronger plus more aggressive fighter. These are the three factors that BJ Penn has troubles with in fighters. UFC sports betting wise the +220 betting itrrrs likely that perfect and I would lay a tiny amount around the money line for Diego to win this fight. I don't think Diego has the strength to knock out Penn or the grappling skill to sub him but he has possess the power and strength to win the stand and obtain the remove points.
He also offers the skill in top position to have an effective ground and pound. If he could be in Penn's guard, he can perform exact same thing GSP did and make use of his size and capability to punish Penn. The Ribeiro brothers can have him how you can fight effectively inside guard. If Diego stays within the top position they can control the soil game. If Penn is on it will probably be over. However, Penn can have trouble getting top position or taking Diego's back since he is the bigger stronger fighter.
I do believe Diego does not contain the skills to conquer Penn but he's the stamina and capability to hurt Penn and provide this fight late in the rounds. By the time Penn hits the forth round he'll be gassed and that is when Sanchez will require over. The best bet is to bet around the UFC prop bet for Diego to win by decision. He will hurt and confuse Penn along with his strikes and kicks. BJ will not likely be capable to close the space because he will be the smaller fighter. BJ Penn carries a lot to check out for with this fight like strikes, kicks, takedowns and also the ground and pound while Sanchez has only to worry not letting go of his back or becoming on the bottom.
Look for Diego Sanchez to be the New UFC Lightweight Champion with a Split Decision
Written by Stan Leung and brought to you by .